COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 4 PICKS

College football gambling has been kind to me through the first 3 weeks of the season. I have 10 plays (1 unit each) for this weekend.

CFB Season total: +7.50 units

Marshall/Appalachian St. over 59 (-110) | Thursday @ 7:30

I got things rolling last night by cashing in the over in Marshall vs. App. State.

Wisconsin -6 (-110) vs. Notre Dame | Saturday @ 12:00

Jack Coan will face off against his former team this Saturday afternoon at Soldier Field as Notre Dame takes on the Badgers. I believe the Wisconsin coaching staff is familiar with Coan’s strengths and weaknesses and should be able to exploit them. Notre Dame has shown some weakness so far this season. Wisconsin didn’t have a game last week, so they have had extra time to prepare. Back the Badgers in this one.

Miami-OH/Army under 48.5 (-110) | Saturday @ 12:00

Allow me to bless you with a few trends for this matchup. The under has hit in 9 of Miami-OH last 13 games. The under has hit in 6 of Miami-OH last 9 road games. This seems like one of those games that just makes sense in my head. Army will have tremendous success on the ground against a Miami-OH team who has struggled to stop the run. Army will keep the pace of the game extremely slow and hit the under.

Northwestern -14 (-115) vs. Ohio

Ohio is weak in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Northwestern will be able to take advantage of this by hopefully being able to establish a running game early on and give Andrew Marty time to make plays in the pocket.

Northwestern is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games at home.

Arkansas +5.5 (-110) vs. Texas A&M | Saturday @ 3:30

Arkansas has been rushing for 280+ yard per game so far this season, good enough for 8th in the country. They have been able to impose their will on the ground against each of their opponents so far this season. Arkansas QB, KJ Jefferson, has been off to a great start through the opening weeks and will look to prove himself further against a top-10 ranked opponent this Saturday. Texas A&M has shown weakness this season, as they just barely snuck by a weak Colorado team. This is a game that in my eyes will come down to a field goal. I’m taking the Razorbacks.

Arkansas 4-1 ATS in last 5.

Arkansas 3-0 ATS this season.

Clemson -10 (-110) vs. NC State | Saturday @ 3:30

My roommate on Wednesday morning told me, “I feel like this is the week Clemson puts it all together”….so I’m taking them -10.

Auburn -27 (-110) vs. Georgia State | Saturday @ 4:00

This is a bounce back spot for Auburn. They suffered a tough loss last week against Penn State, but they’ll get back on track this week against a much inferior opponent.

Auburn 4-1 ATS in last 5.

Auburn is 13-3 ATS in last 16 games as a home favorite.

Buffalo -13.5 (-110) vs. Old Dominion | Saturday @ 6:00

Buffalo is the stronger team here, this is one you don’t want to overthink to much. Buffalo just dropped a heartbreak to coastal Carolina (a ranked program) and this is a bounce back situation for them. Old Dominion just got dominated by Liberty. ODUs defense is not strong and they will pay the price against a Buffalo offense who is solid especially on the ground attack. Buffalo will control the tempo and cover the spread.

Buffalo 14-4 in last 18 ATS.

Kentucky/South Carolina under 48.5 (-110) | Saturday @ 7:00

Let’s keep this one simple. Kentucky returned a bunch of their defense this season. They are experienced and they have played well so fas. South Carolina’s defense has been the strongest part of their team so far this year. I think this one to be a really competitive intense defense battle in Columbia this weekend…..AND I have a trend that suckered me in for this one.

The total in six of the last seven matchups has fallen under the 49.5-point mark.

Houston -20 (+100) vs. Navy | Saturday @ 7:00

In Houston’s most recent outing they ran over Grambling State. They tallied 422 yards of total offense and 24 first downs. Their defense was stellar as well as they held the Tigers to just three first downs and 0-of-14 on third-down tries. I like the Cougars to keep rolling here and cover the spread.

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