We’re on a bit of a skid, and that probably won’t stop day as we’re guaranteed at least one loss because for the first time ever we have opposing picks. Ryan and Alex square off on the hardwood in what should be a thriller.
Alex Jansen (7-6-1, 53.57%, +0.45u): Houston Rockets -2.5 vs OKC Thunder
Houston has dominated this series and that will continue here today. The Thunder are due to breakthrough, but I don’t think they’ll have what it takes when all is said and done. Harden struggled last game, but that won’t happen twice in a row and will be the difference maker here.
Risk 1.1 to Win 1
Dylan Kelly (8-8, 50%, +0.65u): Indiana Pacers ML +180 vs Miami Heat
While the Heat have been dominant, especially on the defensive end, today will be the day that the Pacers steal one. I can’t see them going down 3-0, and I expect to see TJ Warren have a bigger day than the 18.0 PPG he’s put up in the first two games. Miami will get a little too comfortable with their two game lead and let this one get away.
Risk 1 to Win 1.8
Ryan Kelly (7-7, 50%, -0.35u): OKC Thunder ML +120 vs Houston Rockets
Although the Rockets have been the far superior team through the first two games, Westbrook is sitting out again, and it seems like its only a matter of time before the Thunder take advantage of this. A CP3 led team is not going to go down without a fight, and a win tonight can give them some hope to potentially turn this series around. Expect an inspired Thunder team to outplay and beat the Rockets tonight.
Buy The Book YTD: 50-35-1, 58.72%, +28.65u